Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.191373 0.205904 0.221228 0.238632 0.257897 0.278621 0.302673
2025-12-28 0.168414 0.189720 0.213614 0.242577 0.276978 0.316840 0.366976
2026-01-04 0.153416 0.178497 0.207882 0.245239 0.292033 0.349479 0.426564
2026-01-11 0.141493 0.168755 0.201798 0.245422 0.302468 0.375935 0.480117
2026-01-18 0.130018 0.158112 0.193089 0.240689 0.305160 0.391578 0.520057
2026-01-25 0.119748 0.147961 0.183872 0.233999 0.303950 0.401007 0.551445
2026-02-01 0.111989 0.140371 0.177228 0.229883 0.305424 0.413700 0.588376
2026-02-08 0.104907 0.133134 0.170433 0.224816 0.304780 0.422801 0.620316
2026-02-15 0.099190 0.127331 0.165124 0.221293 0.305835 0.434179 0.656821
2026-02-22 0.096079 0.124858 0.164183 0.223854 0.315991 0.460305 0.721007
2026-03-01 0.092078 0.120892 0.160844 0.222541 0.319920 0.476642 0.770095
2026-03-08 0.088216 0.116900 0.157202 0.220449 0.322315 0.490473 0.816242
2026-03-15 0.083595 0.111700 0.151663 0.215297 0.319699 0.496130 0.849014
2026-03-22 0.081938 0.110707 0.152272 0.219774 0.333353 0.531613 0.946370
2026-03-29 0.079881 0.109005 0.151693 0.222265 0.343792 0.562409 1.039656
2026-04-05 0.077409 0.106551 0.149804 0.222449 0.350151 0.586209 1.122121
2026-04-12 0.074086 0.102659 0.145483 0.218295 0.348378 0.594078 1.169772
2026-04-19 0.070592 0.098364 0.140327 0.212414 0.342976 0.594161 1.199004
2026-04-26 0.067836 0.095089 0.136630 0.208791 0.341450 0.601872 1.248290
2026-05-03 0.065069 0.091691 0.132586 0.204329 0.337985 0.605181 1.287048
2026-05-10 0.062757 0.088917 0.129424 0.201224 0.336866 0.613302 1.340019
2026-05-17 0.061688 0.088048 0.129310 0.203481 0.346310 0.645254 1.464700
2026-05-24 0.059994 0.086121 0.127364 0.202324 0.348870 0.662191 1.550719